Effect of radiotherapy on local control and overall survival in spinal metastasis of non-small-cell lung cancer after surgery and systemic therapy.

Aims: Radiotherapy is a well-known local treatment for spinal metastases. However, in the presence of postoperative systemic therapy, the efficacy of radiotherapy on local control (LC) and overall survival (OS) in patients with spinal metastases remains unknown. This study aimed to evaluate the clinical outcomes of post-surgical radiotherapy for spinal metastatic non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients, and to identify factors correlated with LC and OS. Methods: A retrospective, single-centre review was conducted of patients with spinal metastases from NSCLC who underwent surgery followed by systemic therapy at our institution from January 2018 to September 2022. Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank tests were used to compare the LC and OS between groups. Associated factors for LC and OS were assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. Results: Overall, 123 patients with 127 spinal metastases from NSCLC who underwent decompression surgery followed by postoperative systemic therapy were included. A total of 43 lesions were treated with stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) after surgery and 84 lesions were not. Survival rate at one, two, and three years was 83.4%, 58.9%, and 48.2%, respectively, and LC rate was 87.8%, 78.8%, and 78.8%, respectively. Histological type was the only significant associated factor for both LC (p = 0.007) and OS (p < 0.001). Treatment with targeted therapy was significantly associated with longer survival (p = 0.039). The risk factors associated with worse survival were abnormal laboratory data (p = 0.021), lesions located in the thoracic spine (p = 0.047), and lumbar spine (p = 0.044). This study also revealed that postoperative radiotherapy had little effect in improving OS or LC. Conclusion: Tumour histological type was significantly associated with the prognosis in spinal NSCLC metastasis patients. In the presence of post-surgical systemic therapy, radiotherapy appeared to be less effective in improving LC, OS, or quality of life in spinal NSCLC metastasis patients.

Multiple influence of immune cells in the bone metastatic cancer microenvironment on tumors.

Bone is a common organ for solid tumor metastasis. Malignant bone tumor becomes insensitive to systemic therapy after colonization, followed by poor prognosis and high relapse rate. Immune and bone cells in situ constitute a unique immune microenvironment, which plays a crucial role in the context of bone metastasis. This review firstly focuses on lymphatic cells in bone metastatic cancer, including their function in tumor dissemination, invasion, growth and possible cytotoxicity-induced eradication. Subsequently, we examine myeloid cells, namely macrophages, myeloid-derived suppressor cells, dendritic cells, and megakaryocytes, evaluating their interaction with cytotoxic T lymphocytes and contribution to bone metastasis. As important components of skeletal tissue, osteoclasts and osteoblasts derived from bone marrow stromal cells, engaging in 'vicious cycle' accelerate osteolytic bone metastasis. We also explain the concept tumor dormancy and investigate underlying role of immune microenvironment on it. Additionally, a thorough review of emerging treatments for bone metastatic malignancy in clinical research, especially immunotherapy, is presented, indicating current challenges and opportunities in research and development of bone metastasis therapies.

Osteocyte mitochondria inhibit tumor development via STING-dependent antitumor immunity.

Bone is one of the most common sites of tumor metastases. During the last step of bone metastasis, cancer cells colonize and disrupt the bone matrix, which is maintained mainly by osteocytes, the most abundant cells in the bone microenvironment. However, the role of osteocytes in bone metastasis is still unclear. Here, we demonstrated that osteocytes transfer mitochondria to metastatic cancer cells and trigger the cGAS/STING-mediated antitumor response. Blocking the transfer of mitochondria by specifically knocking out mitochondrial Rho GTPase 1 (Rhot1) or mitochondrial mitofusin 2 (Mfn2) in osteocytes impaired tumor immunogenicity and consequently resulted in the progression of metastatic cancer toward the bone matrix. These findings reveal the protective role of osteocytes against cancer metastasis by transferring mitochondria to cancer cells and potentially offer a valuable therapeutic strategy for preventing bone metastasis.

Cancer cells reprogram to metastatic state through the acquisition of platelet mitochondria.

Metastasis is the major cause of cancer deaths, and cancer cells evolve to adapt to various tumor microenvironments, which hinders the treatment of tumor metastasis. Platelets play critical roles in tumor development, especially during metastasis. Here, we elucidate the role of platelet mitochondria in tumor metastasis. Cancer cells are reprogrammed to a metastatic state through the acquisition of platelet mitochondria via the PINK1/Parkin-Mfn2 pathway. Furthermore, platelet mitochondria regulate the GSH/GSSG ratio and reactive oxygen species (ROS) in cancer cells to promote lung metastasis of osteosarcoma. Impairing platelet mitochondrial function has proven to be an efficient approach to impair metastasis, providing a direction for osteosarcoma therapy. Our findings demonstrate mitochondrial transfer between platelets and cancer cells and suggest a role for platelet mitochondria in tumor metastasis.

KERS-Inspired Nanostructured Mineral Coatings Boost IFN-γ mRNA Therapeutic Index for Antitumor Immunotherapy.

Tumor-associated macrophage (TAM) reprogramming is a promising therapeutic approach for cancer immunotherapy; however, its efficacy remains modest due to the low bioactivity of the recombinant cytokines used for TAM reprogramming. mRNA therapeutics are capable of generating fully functional proteins for various therapeutic purposes but accused for its poor sustainability. Inspired by kinetic energy recovery systems (KERS) in hybrid vehicles, a cytokine efficacy recovery system (CERS) is designed to substantially augment the therapeutic index of mRNA-based tumor immunotherapy via a "capture and stabilize" mechanism exerted by a nanostructured mineral coating carrying therapeutic cytokine mRNA. CERS remarkably recycles nearly 40% expressed cytokines by capturing them onto the mineral coating to extend its therapeutic timeframe, further polarizing the macrophages to strengthen their tumoricidal activity and activate adaptive immunity against tumors. Notably, interferon-γ (IFN-γ) produced by CERS exhibits ≈42-fold higher biological activity than recombinant IFN-γ, remarkably decreasing the required IFN-γ dosage for TAM reprogramming. In tumor-bearing mice, IFN-γ cmRNA@CERS effectively polarizes TAMs to inhibit osteosarcoma progression. When combined with the PD-L1 monoclonal antibody, IFN-γ cmRNA@CERS significantly boosts antitumor immune responses, and substantially prevents malignant lung metastases. Thus, CERS-mediated mRNA delivery represents a promising strategy to boost antitumor immunity for tumor treatment.

An On-Demand Collaborative Innate-Adaptive Immune Response to Infection Treatment.

Deep tissue infection is a common clinical issue and therapeutic difficulty caused by the disruption of the host antibacterial immune function, resulting in treatment failure and infection relapse. Intracellular pathogens are refractory to elimination and can manipulate host cell biology even after appropriate treatment, resulting in a locoregional immunosuppressive state that leads to an inadequate response to conventional anti-infective therapies. Here, a novel antibacterial strategy involving autogenous immunity using a biomimetic nanoparticle (NP)-based regulating system is reported to induce in situ collaborative innate-adaptive immune responses. It is observed that a macrophage membrane coating facilitates NP enrichment at the infection site, followed by active NP accumulation in macrophages in a mannose-dependent manner. These NP-armed macrophages exhibit considerably improved innate capabilities, including more efficient intracellular ROS generation and pro-inflammatory factor secretion, M1 phenotype promotion, and effective eradication of invasive bacteria. Furthermore, the reprogrammed macrophages direct T cell activation at infectious sites, resulting in a robust adaptive antimicrobial immune response to ultimately achieve bacterial clearance and prevent infection relapse. Overall, these results provide a conceptual framework for a novel macrophage-based strategy for infection treatment via the regulation of autogenous immunity.

PDGFR in PDGF-BB/PDGFR Signaling Pathway Does Orchestrates Osteogenesis in a Temporal Manner.

Platelet-derived growth factor-BB (PDGF-BB)/platelet-derived growth factor receptor-ß (PDGFR-ß) pathway is conventionally considered as an important pathway to promote osteogenesis; however, recent study suggested its role during osteogenesis to be controversial. Regarding the differential functions of this pathway during 3 stages of bone healing, we hypothesized that temporal inhibition of PDGF-BB/PDGFR-ß pathway could shift the proliferation/differentiation balance of skeletal stem and progenitor cells, toward osteogenic lineage, which leads to improved bone regeneration. We first validated that inhibition of PDGFR-ß at late stage of osteogenic induction effectively enhanced differentiation toward osteoblasts. This effect was also replicated in vivo by showing accelerated bone formation when block PDGFR-ß pathway at late stage of critical bone defect healing mediated using biomaterials. Further, we found that such PDGFR-ß inhibitor-initiated bone healing was also effective in the absence of scaffold implantation when administrated intraperitoneally. Mechanistically, timely inhibition of PDGFR-ß blocked extracellular regulated protein kinase 1/2 pathway, which shift proliferation/differentiation balance of skeletal stem and progenitor cell to osteogenic lineage by upregulating osteogenesis-related products of Smad to induce osteogenesis. This study offered updated understanding of the use of PDGFR-ß pathway and provides new insight routes of action and novel therapeutic methods in the field of bone repair.

GSTP1-mediated S-glutathionylation of Pik3r1 is a redox hub that inhibits osteoclastogenesis through regulating autophagic flux.

Glutathione S-transferase P1(GSTP1) is known for its transferase and detoxification activity. Based on disease-phenotype genetic associations, we found that GSTP1 might be associated with bone mineral density through Mendelian randomization analysis. Therefore, this study was performed both in vitro cellular and in vivo mouse model to determine how GSTP1 affects bone homeostasis. In our research, GSTP1 was revealed to upregulate the S-glutathionylation level of Pik3r1 through Cys498 and Cys670, thereby decreasing its phosphorylation, further controlling the alteration of autophagic flux via the Pik3r1-AKT-mTOR axis, and lastly altering osteoclast formation in vitro. In addition, knockdown and overexpression of GSTP1 in vivo also altered bone loss outcomes in the OVX mice model. In general, this study identified a new mechanism by which GSTP1 regulates osteoclastogenesis, and it is evident that the cell fate of osteoclasts is controlled by GSTP1-mediated S-glutathionylation via a redox-autophagy cascade.

Human γδ T cells induce CD8+ T cell antitumor responses via antigen-presenting effect through HSP90-MyD88-mediated activation of JNK.

Human Vγ9Vδ2 T cells have attracted considerable attention as novel alternative antigen-presenting cells (APCs) with the potential to replace dendritic cells in antitumor immunotherapy owing to their high proliferative capacity and low cost. However, the utility of γδ T cells as APCs to induce CD8+ T cell-mediated antitumor immune response, as well as the mechanism by which they perform APC functions, remains unexplored. In this study, we found that activated Vγ9Vδ2 T cells were capable of inducing robust CD8+ T cell responses in osteosarcoma cells. Activated γδ T cells also effectively suppressed osteosarcoma growth by priming CD8+ T cells in xenograft animal models. Mechanistically, we further revealed that activated γδ T cells exhibited increased HSP90 production, which fed back to upregulate MyD88, followed by JNK activation and a subsequent improvement in CCL5 secretion, leading to enhanced CD8+ T cell cross-priming. Thus, our study suggests that Vγ9Vδ2 T cells represent a promising alternative APC for the development of γδ T cell-based tumor immunotherapy.

Enhancement of T cell infiltration via tumor-targeted Th9 cell delivery improves the efficacy of antitumor immunotherapy of solid tumors.

Insufficient infiltration of T cells severely compromises the antitumor efficacy of adoptive cell therapy (ACT) against solid tumors. Here, we present a facile immune cell surface engineering strategy aiming to substantially enhance the anti-tumor efficacy of Th9-mediated ACT by rapidly identifying tumor-specific binding ligands and improving the infiltration of infused cells into solid tumors. Non-genetic decoration of Th9 cells with tumor-targeting peptide screened from phage display not only allowed precise targeted ACT against highly heterogeneous solid tumors but also substantially enhanced infiltration of CD8+ T cells, which led to improved antitumor outcomes. Mechanistically, infusion of Th9 cells modified with tumor-specific binding ligands facilitated the enhanced distribution of tumor-killing cells and remodeled the immunosuppressive microenvironment of solid tumors via IL-9 mediated immunomodulation. Overall, we presented a simple, cost-effective, and cell-friendly strategy to enhance the efficacy of ACT against solid tumors with the potential to complement the current ACT.

Metabolic control of CD47 expression through LAT2-mediated amino acid uptake promotes tumor immune evasion.

Chemotherapy elicits tumor immune evasion with poorly characterized mechanisms. Here, we demonstrate that chemotherapy markedly enhances the expression levels of CD47 in osteosarcoma tissues, which are positively associated with patient mortality. We reveal that macrophages in response to chemotherapy secrete interleukin-18, which in turn upregulates expression of L-amino acid transporter 2 (LAT2) in tumor cells for substantially enhanced uptakes of leucine and glutamine, two potent stimulators of mTORC1. The increased levels of leucine and enhanced glutaminolysis activate mTORC1 and subsequent c-Myc-mediated transcription of CD47. Depletion of LAT2 or treatment of tumor cells with a LAT inhibitor downregulates CD47 with enhanced macrophage infiltration and phagocytosis of tumor cells, and sensitizes osteosarcoma to doxorubicin treatment in mice. These findings unveil a mutual regulation between macrophage and tumor cells that plays a critical role in tumor immune evasion and underscore the potential to intervene with the LAT2-mediated amino acid uptake for improving cancer therapies.

Risk factor investigation for hip dislocation after periacetabular tumour resection and endoprosthetic reconstruction via thin-slice CT-based 3D model.

AIMS: Dislocation of the hip remains a major complication after periacetabular tumour resection and endoprosthetic reconstruction. The position of the acetabular component is an important modifiable factor for surgeons in determining the risk of postoperative dislocation. We investigated the significance of horizontal, vertical, and sagittal displacement of the hip centre of rotation (COR) on postoperative dislocation using a CT-based 3D model, as well as other potential risk factors for dislocation. METHODS: A total of 122 patients who underwent reconstruction following resection of periacetabular tumour between January 2011 and January 2020 were studied. The risk factors for dislocation were investigated with univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis on patient-specific, resection-specific, and reconstruction-specific variables. RESULTS: The dislocation rate was 13.9% (n = 17). The hip COR was found to be significantly shifted anteriorly and inferiorly in most patients in the dislocation group compared with the non-dislocation group. Three independent risk factors were found to be related to dislocation: resection of gluteus medius (odds ratio (OR) 3.68 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.24 to 19.70); p = 0.039), vertical shift of COR > 18 mm (OR 24.8 (95% CI 6.23 to 128.00); p = 0.001), and sagittal shift of COR > 20 mm (OR 6.22 (95% CI 1.33 to 32.2); p = 0.026). CONCLUSION: Among the 17 patients who dislocated, 70.3% (n = 12) were anterior dislocations. Three independent risk factors were identified, suggesting the importance of proper restoration of the COR and the role of the gluteus medius in maintaining hip joint stability.Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2022;104-B(10):1180-1188.

HemoglobinA1c Is a Risk Factor for Changes of Bone Mineral Density: A Mendelian Randomization Study.

Background: As a valuable blood glucose measurement, HemoglobinA1c (HbA1c) is of great clinical value for diabetes. However, in previous observational studies, studies on its effect on bone mineral density (BMD) have different results. This study aimed to use Mendelian randomization (MR) to assess the effect of HbA1c on bone mineral density and fracture risk, and try to further explore whether this association was achieved through glycemic or non-glycemic factors. Methods: Take HbA1c measurement as exposure, and BMD estimated from quantitative heel ultrasounds (eBMD) and bone fractures as outcomes. Two-Sample MR Analysis was conducted to assess the causal effect of HbA1C on heel BMD and risk fracture. Then, we performed the analysis using two subsets of these variants, one related to glycemic measurement and the other to erythrocyte indices. Results: Genetically increased HbA1C was associated with the lower heel eBMD [odds ratio (OR) 0.91 (95% CI 0.87, 0.96) per %-unit, P = 3 × 10-4(IVW)]. Higher HbA1C was associated with lower heel eBMD when using only erythrocytic variants [OR 0.87 (0.82, 0.93), P=2× 10-5(IVW)]; However, when using only glycemic variants, this casual association does not hold. In further MR analysis, we test the association of erythrocytic traits with heel eBMD. Conclusion: Our study revealed the significant causal effect of HbA1c on eBMD, and this causal link might achieve through non-glycemic pathways (erythrocytic indices).

Can "domino" therapy effectively treat the infection around the prosthesis after the limb salvage surgery of bone tumor? - A study of sequential therapy.

BACKGROUND: Tumor resection and prosthetic replacement have become the treatments of choice for malignant bone tumors. Infections are the leading cause of failure of limb salvage surgeries. Therefore, treating infections around prostheses after limb salvage is essential and challenging. Our research team designed a "domino" sequential treatment plan to treat postoperative infections around tumor prostheses and evaluated its efficacy. PURPOSE: To introduce the new domino sequential treatment plan for postoperative infections of tumor prostheses, and evaluate the technical points of the plan and prognosis in medium- and long-term follow-ups. METHODS: Between January 2015 and August 2021, 14 patients were treated with prosthesis-preserving domino sequential therapy for peripheral prosthesis infections after bone-tumor limb salvage. The sample included eight cases of distal femur tumor, two of proximal tibia tumor, three of pelvic tumor, and one of middle femur tumor. We evaluated routine blood test results, C-reactive protein level, the erythrocyte sedimentation rate, and other indicators. X-rays and CT scans of the surgical site were obtained and the Musculoskeletal Tumor Society (MSTS) score was calculated. Treatment involved debridement and lavage of the prosthesis, and systemic and local antibiotics. RESULTS: The positivity rate of microbial culture was 78.6%. There were three cases of Staphylococcus aureus, one of Staphylococcus epidermidis, two of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus epidermidis, one of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus, two of Acinetobacter baumannii, one of Streptococcus lactis (group C), one of Streptococcus mitis, and three with negative cultures. In three cases, sequential treatment failed to control the infection. The operation success rate was 78.6% (11/14). One case eventually required amputation, and another required long-term wound dressings. To control the infection, a third had to be treated using antibiotic bone cement combined with the "intramedullary nail reverse double insertion" technique. The MSTS scores of patients before infection debridement and at the last follow-up showed statistically significant differences (t = 5.312, p = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: The prosthesis-preserving domino sequential method has certain advantages for treating bone-tumor limb salvage infections around the prosthesis. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level IV, therapeutic.

Machine learning for predicting the treatment effect of orthokeratology in children.

Purpose: Myopia treatment using orthokeratology (ortho-k) slows myopia progression. However, it is not equally effective in all patients. We aimed to predict the treatment effect of ortho-k using a machine-learning-assisted (ML) prediction model. Methods: Of the 119 patients who started ortho-k treatment between January 1, 2019, and January 1, 2022, 91 met the inclusion criteria and were included in the model. Ocular parameters and clinical characteristics were collected. A logistic regression model with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was used to select factors associated with the treatment effect. Results: Age, baseline axial length, pupil diameter, lens wearing time, time spent outdoors, time spent on near work, white-to-white distance, anterior corneal flat keratometry, and posterior corneal astigmatism were selected in the model (aera under curve: 0.949). The decision curve analysis showed beneficial effects. The C-statistic of the predictive model was 0.821 (95% CI: 0.815, 0.827). Conclusion: Ocular parameters and clinical characteristics were used to predict the treatment effect of ortho-k. This ML-assisted model may assist ophthalmologists in making clinical decisions for patients, improving myopia control, and predicting the clinical effect of ortho-k treatment via a retrospective non-intervention trial.

Predictive and Prognostic Biomarkers for Lung Cancer Bone Metastasis and Their Therapeutic Value.

Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide. Bone metastasis, which usually accompanies severe skeletal-related events, is the most common site for tumor distant dissemination and detected in more than one-third of patients with advanced lung cancer. Biopsy and imaging play critical roles in the diagnosis of bone metastasis; however, these approaches are characterized by evident limitations. Recently, studies regarding potential biomarkers in the serum, urine, and tumor tissue, were performed to predict the bone metastases and prognosis in patients with lung cancer. In this review, we summarize the findings of recent clinical research studies on biomarkers detected in samples obtained from patients with lung cancer bone metastasis. These markers include the following: (1) bone resorption-associated markers, such as N-terminal telopeptide (NTx)/C-terminal telopeptide (CTx), C-terminal telopeptide of type I collagen (CTx-I), tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase isoform 5b (TRACP-5b), pyridinoline (PYD), and parathyroid hormone related peptide (PTHrP); (2) bone formation-associated markers, including total serum alkaline phosphatase (ALP)/bone specific alkaline phosphatase(BAP), osteopontin (OP), osteocalcin (OS), amino-terminal extension propeptide of type I procollagen/carboxy-terminal extension propeptide of type I procollagen (PICP/PINP); (3) signaling markers, including epidermal growth factor receptor/Kirsten rat sarcoma/anaplastic lymphoma kinase (EGFR/KRAS/ALK), receptor activator of nuclear factor κB ligand/receptor activator of nuclear factor κB/osteoprotegerin (RANKL/RANK/OPG), C-X-C motif chemokine ligand 12/C-X-C motif chemokine receptor 4 (CXCL12/CXCR4), complement component 5a receptor (C5AR); and (4) other potential markers, such as calcium sensing receptor (CASR), bone sialoprotein (BSP), bone morphogenetic protein 2 (BMP2), cytokeratin 19 fragment/carcinoembryonic antigen (CYFRA/CEA), tissue factor, cell-free DNA, long non-coding RNA, and microRNA. The prognostic value of these markers is also investigated. Furthermore, we listed some clinical trials targeting hotspot biomarkers in advanced lung cancer referring for their therapeutic effects.

Clinical Features and Serological Markers Risk Model Predicts Overall Survival in Patients Undergoing Breast Cancer and Bone Metastasis Surgeries.

BACKGROUND: Surgical therapy of breast cancer and bone metastasis can effectively improve the prognosis of breast cancer. However, after the first operation, the relationship between preoperative indicators and outcomes in patients who underwent metastatic bone surgery remained to be studied. Purpose 1. Recognize clinical and laboratory prognosis factors available to clinical doctors before the operation for bone metastatic breast cancer patients. 2. Develop a risk prediction model for 3-year postoperative survival in patients with breast cancer bone metastasis. METHODS: From 2014 to 2020, patients who suffered from breast cancer bone metastasis and received therapeutic procedures in our institution were included for analyses (n=145). For patients who underwent both breast cancer radical surgery and bone metastasis surgery, comprehensive datasets of the parameters of interest (clinical features, laboratory factors, and patient prognoses) were collected (n=69). We performed Multivariate Cox regression to identify factors that were associated with postoperative outcome. 3-year survival prediction model and nomograms were established by 100 bootstrapping. Its benefit was evaluated by calibration plot, C-index, and decision curve analysis. The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database was also used for external validation. RESULTS: Radiotherapy for primary cancer, pathological type of metastatic breast cancer, lymph node metastasis, elevated serum alkaline phosphatase, lactate dehydrogenase were associated with postoperative prognosis. Pathological types of metastatic breast cancer, multiple bone metastasis, organ metastases, and elevated serum lactate dehydrogenase were associated with 3-year survival. Then those significant variables and serum alkaline phosphatase counts were integrated to construct nomograms for 3-year survival. The C-statistic of the established predictive model was 0.83. The calibration plot presents a graphical representation of calibration. In the decision curve analysis, the benefits are higher than those of the extreme curve. The receiver operating characteristic of the external validation of the model was 0.82, indicating a favored fitting degree of the two models. CONCLUSION: Our study suggests that several clinical features and serological markers can predict the overall survival among the patients who are about to receive bone metastasis surgery after breast cancer surgery. The model can guide the preoperative evaluation and clinical decision-making for patients. Level of evidence Level III, prognostic study.

A Simple Logistic Regression Model for Predicting the Likelihood of Recurrence of Atrial Fibrillation Within 1 Year After Initial Radio-Frequency Catheter Ablation Therapy.

BACKGROUND: The clinical factors associated with the recurrence of atrial fibrillation (Af) in patients undergoing catheter ablation (CA) are still ambiguous to date. PURPOSE: 1. To recognize preoperative serologic factors and clinical features associated with Af recurrence after the first ablation treatment. 2. To Develop a Logical Regression Model for Predicting the Likelihood of Recurrence Within 1 Year After the Initial Radio-Frequency Catheter Ablation (RFCA) Therapy. METHODS: Atrial fibrillation patients undergoing RFCA at our institution from January 2016 to June 2021 were included in the analysis (n = 246). A combined dataset of relevant parameters was collected from the participants (clinical characteristics, laboratory results, and time to recurrence) (n = 200). We performed the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) regression with 100 cycles, selecting variables present in all 100 cycles to identify factors associated with the first recurrence of atrial fibrillation. A logistic regression model for predicting whether Af would recur within a year was created using 70% of the data as a training set and the remaining data to validate the accuracy. The predictions were assessed using calibration plots, concordance index (C-index), and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: The left atrial diameter, albumin, type of Af, whether other arrhythmias were combined, and the duration of Af attack time were associated with Af recurrence in this sample. Some clinically meaningful variables were selected and combined with recognized factors associated with recurrence to construct a logistic regression prediction model for 1-year Af recurrence. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for this model was 0.8695, and the established prediction model had a C-index of 0.83. The performance was superior to the extreme curve in the decision curve analysis. CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrates that several clinical features and serological markers can predict the recurrence of Af in patients undergoing RFCA. This simple model can play a crucial role in guiding physicians in preoperative evaluation and clinical decision-making.